Archive for February, 2009

The Highlands See A 44% Increase In Home Values Over Past 10 Years!

Wednesday, February 25th, 2009

Recently, while I must have been extremely bored, I looked up real estate values in the Highlands over the past 10 years.

In 1999, 10 full years ago, single family homes in the Highlands Louisville Kentucky sold for an average price of $133,240.  At the end of 2008, the average sales price was $192,312.  That is an increase of over 44%!

If you have any questions about homes in the Highlands, please don’t hesitate to visit the most complete Highlands Real Estate website at www.GregFly.com.  You can also call me anytime at 1-888-GREG-FLY or email me at greg@gregfly.com.

Homes For Sale Louisville | St Matthews Sees 34% Increase In Home Values Over Past 10 Years!

Monday, February 23rd, 2009

Recently, while I must have been extremely bored, I looked up St Matthews real estate values over the past 10 years.

In 1999, 10 full years ago, single family homes in St. Matthews Louisville Kentucky sold for an average price of $203,816.  At the end of 2008, the average sales price was $274,188.  That is an increase of over 34%!

If you have any questions about St. Matthews homes, please don’t hesitate to visit the most complete St. Matthews Real Estate website at www.GregFly.com.  You can also call me anytime at 1-888-GREG-FLY or email me at greg@gregfly.com.

Louisville Highlands Real Estate Steroids Era

Tuesday, February 17th, 2009

When observing the local real estate market, most analysts and reporters consistently compare this year’s data to last year’s data, or this month’s data to last month’s data.  This is a particular pet peeve of mine for many reasons, of which I will share a few.

First, the time period is too small.  Would you really take much notice if a “professional” told you that we are in a Buyer’s Market because we sold fewer homes today than we did yesterday?  Of course not.  Obviously, that time period is too small to be useful.  I maintain that months are too small as well.  Years as a unit of measurement are better, but not too much, in my opinion.  Small time frames simply don’t leave any room for natural fluctuations in the market.

Do we really expect the home sales market to go straight up?  Or straight down?  Wouldn’t it be more realistic to expect ups and downs along the way, much the way we all expect the stock market to behave?  In the long haul, home prices will go up, but we are going to have patches of down times along the way, and comparing those down times to the best times only make the comparisons worse.

And that is my biggest complaint about the comparisons I see all the time in the newspaper as well as on TV.  It is obvious that a few years ago, too many people were buying homes who shouldn’t have been.  For whatever reason, people qualified to buy homes who would have never been allowed to buy in the years or decades before.  That means that the number of homes sales during that time were artificially high, and are not true indicators of the local activity.

Just as in baseball, when a player is found out to have cheated, and used steroids, their records are viewed with suspicion and some even have asterisks placed next to them.  Why not do the same for real estate?  Why do we insist on comparing 2008′s real estate records to those that were “juiced” with mortgage steroids that should have never been administered?  Wouldn’t it be more honest to compare last year’s statistics with a year before, say 2004, when truly qualified buyers were the norm and not buyers who were virtually guaranteed to file for bankruptcy?  Or maybe we would be better off comparing this past years statistics to a running average of the past five or ten years, to get a better idea of how 2008 really stacks up?

Stayed tuned as I dissect sales statistics of Louisville Kentucy Real Estate and determine how each neighborhood stacks up against its 10 year average of sales.

As a quick example of what’s to come, when I looked at Area 2 which includes The Highlands and Germantown, I believe the results give you a better idea of where 2008 really stands.  The number of sales made in 2008 was 73% of the average over the past 10 years.  Bad news anyway you look at it.  However, the average sales price in 2008 was 119% of the past 10 year average, probably a bit better than most would expect.  And finally, the median sales price in 2008 for The Highlands in Louisville Kentucky Real Estate was 113% of the past 10 year average!

If you have any questions about homes in the Highlands, please don’t hesitate to visit the most complete Highlands Real Estate website at www.GregFly.com.  You can also call me anytime at 1-888-GREG-FLY or email me at greg@gregfly.com.

Prospect Ky Real Estate 2008 Wrap Up

Sunday, February 15th, 2009

Now that we are firmly in 2009, it is time to look back a bit and see how different parts of the Louisville Market held up during 2008.  Today, I am looking at Prospect Ky real estate, and all of Area 9 of our local MLS.

At the end of 2004, there were 248 single family homes on the market in the Prospect and Anchorage Areas of Louisville, Kentucky.  Since that point, it has gone up to 504 single family homes on the market at the end of 2008, a 100% increase from just a few years before!

At the same time, the number of sales of single family homes in the Prospect and Anchorage Areas of Louisville, Kentucky has gone from 1099 units in 2004 to 809 units sold in 2008, a decrease of over 25%!

If we look at the numbers above in connection with each other, we can that the result is not going to be good.  We have more and more homes coming on the market, with fewer and fewer buyers.  In 2004, the average time on the market in the Prospect and Anchorage Areas of Louisville, Kentucky for a single family residence was 2.7 months compared to 7.5 months in 2008!  Ouch.

If you have any questions about homes in Prospect, please don’t hesitate to visit the most complete Prospect Ky Real Estate website at www.GregFly.com.  You can also call me anytime at 1-888-GREG-FLY or email me at greg@gregfly.com.

Homes For Sale Louisville | St Matthew’s real estate DOM increases!

Wednesday, February 11th, 2009

Even in the strongest performing neighborhoods of Louisville, Kentucky, such as St. Matthews, the real estate downturn has been palpable, which isn’t too surprising given the economic turmoil in the economy in general.  There was no reason to think that St Matthews real estate would be an island unto itself.

To help illustrate the point, at the end of 2004, there were 127 single family homes on the market in St. Matthews, Kentucky.  Since that point, it has gone up to 214 single family homes on the market at the end of 2008, a 65% increase from just a few years before!

At the same time, the number of sales of single family homes in St. Matthews, Kentucky has gone from 636 units in 2004 to 425 units sold in 2008, a decrease of over 33%!

If we factor these numbers together, we can see that the time on the market has gone up fairly dramatically in the last few years.  In 2004, the average time on the market in St. Matthews, Kentucky for a single family residence was 2.4 months compared to 6.0 months in 2008!  Ouch.

If you have any questions about St. Matthews homes, please don’t hesitate to visit the most complete St. Matthews Real Estate website at www.GregFly.com.  You can also call me anytime at 1-888-GREG-FLY or email me at greg@gregfly.com.

Louisville Highlands real estate update for February 2009

Monday, February 9th, 2009

Louisville real estate, like most cities across the country, has seen a decrease in the real estate activity over the past year or so.  However, if you take the time to look at smaller pockets of activity inside the greater city, it is possible to find a few over performing areas, as well as a few under performing areas.

As in most years, the Highlands part of town continues to be one of Louisville’s best performing neighborhoods.  Usually, days on market is shorter, prices are higher, and the sales price compared to the list price is usually better as well.

For instance, the average sales price for singly family homes in 2008 was $192,312, the second highest average over the past 10 years, and the median sales price for 2008 was $150,000, also the second highest total over the past 10 years.

With sales averages down citywide, and some areas seeing decreases not seen since the 1980′s, the Highlands Real Estate Market continues to be one of the best bets in town.

If you have any questions about homes in the Highlands, please don’t hesitate to visit the most complete Highlands Real Estate website at www.GregFly.com.  You can also call me anytime at 1-888-GREG-FLY or email me at greg@gregfly.com.

St. Matthews Real Estate Values Show Up As Some Of Louisville’s Best!

Monday, February 9th, 2009

Among all the doom and gloom we can find about real estate, both nationally and locally, it is refreshing to find some spots around town in Louisville, KY that are not doing quite as poorly as the national media would have you believe.

Here is some of the St. Matthews real estate data I promised!  To be fair, these numbers are from Area 3 of our local MLS, but I am loosely calling it St. Matthews.

Average Sales Price for 2008 = $274,188
Average Sales Price for 2007 = $262,495

As long as we are talking about value, these numbers don’t look like the drop in sales that experts have been telling us about for months on end now.  Homes in 2008 sold for almost $12,000 more than the average in 2007!

And for the purists out there, who believe that average sales prices are too easy to manipulate, and can be affected by just a few really expensive homes, why don’t we also look at median sales prices of St Matthews homes?

Median Sales Price for 2008 = $214,000
Median Sales Price for 2007 = $208,000

An increase of $6,000!  You would never know it by reading some of the articles that are written about home sales in St. Matthews.

If you have any questions about St. Matthews homes, please don’t hesitate to visit the most complete St. Matthews Real Estate website at www.GregFly.com.  You can also call me anytime at 1-888-GREG-FLY or email me at greg@gregfly.com.

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